Showing posts with label Mint. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mint. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

U.S. Mint Suspends Some Gold Coin Sales After Demand Surge


Gold coin American EagleScott Olson/Getty Images NEW YORK — The U.S. Mint said it has suspended sales of its one-tenth ounce American Eagle gold bullion coins as surging demand after bullion’s plunge to two-year lows depleted the government’s inventory.

This marks the first time it has stopped selling gold product since November 2009, dealers said. A spokesman for the Mint did not return calls seeking confirmation of that milestone.


The U.S. Mint, one of the world’s leading gold and silver coin producers, halts coin sales from time to time as it runs out of coin blanks to meet increases in demand. So far in April, the U.S. Mint has sold 175,000 ounces of American Eagle gold coins, putting it on track to challenge a high of 231,500 ounces set in December 2009.


Since last Monday, U.S. gold coins have been flying off dealers’ shelves as retail investors snap up bargains after bullion’s historic plunge in price and into bear territory.


Michael Kramer, president of Manfra, Tordella & Brookes (MTB), a major U.S. coin dealer in New York, has been inundated by orders from existing and new wholesale and retail customers. “It’s panic. This is one of the busiest times in quite a while. People think gold’s at the lows and they want to take advantage,” he said in an interview.


In contrast, investors bought bullion coins after the 2008 economic crisis for fears that they might miss out on gold’s next rally.


Even after a small recovery this week from two-year lows of $ 1,321 per ounce, gold prices are down 16 percent year-to-date and are off 26 percent from the record highs of $ 1,920 per ounce set in September 2011.

In a memo to its authorized purchases sent late Monday, the Mint said that it continues to offer the one-ounce, one-half ounce and one-quarter ounce coins.


While the one-ounce American Eagle gold coins remain the most popular size, year-to-date demand for the one-tenth ounce coins has been up over 118 percent compared to the same period in 2012, the Mint said.


The spike in gold coin sales often reflects a desire among mom-and-pop investors to have physical metal as a store of value in troubled economic times.


Many analysts expect bullion to post its first annual loss after 12 consecutive years of gains as investors seek out better returns in other assets. U.S. equities have hit record highs.


Gold exchange-traded funds have also been hit by a big wave of redemptions as institutional investors pull cash out of precious metals and retail investors seek physical coins and bars.


In addition, the Mint has been allocating its silver coins since late January due to strong demand and limited inventory.


(Reporting by Frank Tang and Josephine Mason; Editing by Gary Hill and Bob Burgdorfer)




DailyFinance.com




U.S. Mint Suspends Some Gold Coin Sales After Demand Surge

U.S. Mint Runs Out of Smallest American Eagle Gold Coin; Is There a Shortage of Physical Gold? Coordinated Smackdown by Naked Shorts?

Demand for gold coins has surged following the record price plunge in gold last week. Demand is so high that the U.S. Mint Runs Out of Smallest American Eagle Gold Coin.

The U.S. Mint ran out its smallest American Eagle gold coin after demand surged following the biggest drop in futures prices in 33 years.

Sales of the coins weighing a 10th of an ounce were suspended after demand more than doubled in 2013 from a year earlier, the Mint said today in a statement. Total sales of American Eagles in April have almost tripled from a month earlier, according to Mint data on the website.


On April 15, gold futures in New York plunged 9.3 percent, the most since 1980. Retail sales and jewelry demand soared in India, the world’s top buyer, and China, the second-biggest. Coin sales also surged in Australia.


The Mint also sells 22-karat American Eagle coins of 1 ounce, half an ounce and a quarter of an ounce.


The U.S. Mint suspended sales of silver coins in January for more than a week because of lack of inventory. Sales of the coins jumped to a record that month.


Bullish or Bearish?


It’s possible to make a bullish or bearish argument out of this shortage. The bullish argument is simple: demand is strong. The bearish argument is small investors are a contrarian indicator just as they were with silver in January.


I am not taking a short-term stance one way or another, so don’t ask. I do like my chances longer-term as I explained at the Wine Country Conference. See Mike “Mish” Shedlock: A Brief Lesson in History.


Shortage of Physical Gold?


Some writers have spun this story into the message there is a shortage of physical gold. No there isn’t. There is a temporary shortage of certain coins, no more no less.


Divergence Between Physical Gold and Paper Gold?


Other writers have noticed the price premium on small denomination coins and concluded there is some sort of “divergence between physical gold and paper gold”.


Once again, that’s nonsense. Premiums on small denomination coins is not the same a general premium on physical gold itself.


How do I know?


Easy: If I went to buy or sell at GoldMoney (and GoldMoney only deals in physical metals with allocated, audited storage), I would pay the same small markup as before, based on the current futures price.


Here is another way to tell. Go buy or sell a one ounce bar and see how much it costs or how much you can get. Here’s a hint: your selling price will not fetch $ 1900 as it once did, nor would it cost you over $ 1900 to buy.


Smackdown by Naked Shorts?


Many claim blatant manipulation by naked shorts. Mercy! Under this theory, shorts piled on to the tune of 163,000 gold futures. Really?


Keith Weiner tackles that theory for the Acting Man Blog in The Last Contango. Here is the pertinent chart.



Weiner asks “If someone had sold 163,000 futures to cause the price to drop, then wouldn’t the open interest [in futures] have risen? If Santa went down chimneys, wouldn’t there be soot on his red and white uniform?


The answer to both questions is of course “yes”. Instead, the chart shows a 16,000 open interest drop in gold futures and a 12,000 drop in silver futures.

Ignore the Hype in Both Directions


Bulls blame every drop on manipulation and frequently tout preposterous price targets. Bears cite jewelry demand and other nonsense as if it’s important (and it isn’t).


It is best to ignore the hype and silliness on both sides.


Fundamentally, what has changed? I suggest nothing.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




U.S. Mint Runs Out of Smallest American Eagle Gold Coin; Is There a Shortage of Physical Gold? Coordinated Smackdown by Naked Shorts?