Showing posts with label Idiocy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Idiocy. Show all posts

Thursday, April 11, 2013

Brussels Threatens Spain With Fines of 0.1% of GDP

Never mind that Spanish unemployment is 26.6% and youth unemployment exceeds 55%. The nannycrats wants Spain to hike taxes even more to make up for budget shortfalls.

Hiking taxes and levying fines in a severe depression is of course sheer idiocy, nonetheless, Brussels issued a new warning to Spain for serious imbalance risks, threatening Spain with fines of 0.1% of GDP.


Via Mish-modified Google translate from El Economista.

The European Commission launched a new warning to the country for “serious risks” to economic imbalances. Spain needs to submit a corrective action plan to Brussels on the 26th of this month. Brussels wants Spain to raise the VAT (limit use of a reduced rate for some items), raise fuel taxes, and continue labor reforms.

If Brussels considers Spain’s reforms insufficient, it will consider taking sanctions in late May, according to sources. The excessive imbalances procedure provides for fines of up to 0.1% of GDP (1 billion euros in the case of Spain) for countries that do not follow the recommendations of EU economic policy.


The preliminary report published last November, Spain exceeded the maximum thresholds in 6 of the 11 indicators used to detect economic risks Brussels. Only Ireland, Portugal and Cyprus, all rescued countries, have many risk indicators such as Spain, while Greece exceeds the thresholds in 5 cases.


What worries the EU executive of Spain is the continued rise in unemployment, the average rate in the past three years is now at 19.9% ​​(versus 10% threshold considered healthy).


The other indicators in which Spain exceeds the risk threshold are loss of export market share (-7.6% vs. 6%), private debt (218% of GDP, compared to a limit of 160% ), public debt (69% versus 60%) and the net international investment position (-91.7% of GDP, compared to up to 35%).


Amazing Arrogance and Idiocy


Brussels is supposedly concerned about rising Spanish unemployment. Yet the nannycrats in Brussels demand actions from Spain guaranteed to make unemployment worse. This is amazing arrogance as well as amazing idiocy.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




Brussels Threatens Spain With Fines of 0.1% of GDP

Sunday, March 17, 2013

Cyprus Details: Blackmail, Bulldozer Threats, Bank Holiday to Tuesday; Calls to Exit Eurozone; Reflections on Arrogance and Idiocy

As details of the EU’s heavy handed blackmail of Cyprus come pouring in, the volatile reactions mount as expected.

Cyprus President Statement on Confiscation of Accounts


Here is the Statement by the President of the Republic Mr Nicos Anastasiades. Points five and six are interesting:


5. It saves provident and pension funds and avoids taking other tough measures such as wage and pension cuts that were put on the negotiations table.


6. It avoids further recession and the risk of the vicious circle of a second memorandum.


Care to bet?


Man Threatens Bank with Bulldozer


The BBC reports Man threatens bank with bulldozer



Threats to Vote Against Action


The Financial Times reports


“President Nicos Anastasiades faces an uphill task to persuade reluctant lawmakers, after pledging that he would “never” accept a haircut of deposits as a condition for a bailout by international lenders. His governing coalition controls 28 seats in the 56-member parliament but several members of the Democratic party, the junior partner, have threatened to vote against the bill.”


Cyprus Parliament Delays Vote


What follows threats of a “no” vote should be easy to predict: Cyprus parliament delays vote on bank deposits tax.


“Cyprus’ parliament on Sunday postponed a debate and vote on a controversial levy on all bank deposits that the cash-strapped country’s creditors had demanded in exchange for €10 billion ($ 13 billion Cdn) in rescue money. The vote, which had been expected later Sunday, has been pushed back to Monday afternoon, parliamentary official Antonis Koutalianos said. The announcement set off an immediate scramble among top European officials, with reports that the European Central Bank was pressuring Cypriot authorities to hold the vote without delay.”


UK to Compensate Troops and Government Workers


Chancellor George Osborne says the UK will compensate any British troops in Cyprus hit by plans to introduce a bank levy as part of a £9bn EU bailout.


Greece Exempt From Haircuts


Ekathimerini reports “the account haircut does not affect bank accounts in Cypriot bank branches based in Greece, according to sources from the Greek Finance Ministry.”


German Finance Minister Wanted 40% Haircuts


Also from Ekathimerini: “Cyprus state broadcaster CyBC reported on Saturday that German Finance Minister actually entered the Eurogroup meeting on Friday proposing a 40 percent haircut on Cypriot bank accounts. Sarris stated on Saturday that this had also been the proposal of the International Monetary Fund.”


Communist Party Proposes Eurozone Referendum


The Financial Times notes “The Akel communist party denounced the deal, proposing a referendum on whether Cyprus should remain a member of the eurozone. The Democratic party (Diko), which supported Mr Anastasiades in last month’s presidential election, urged Cypriots to remain calm, while claiming Cyprus had been “blackmailed” at the eurogroup meeting.”


Also from the above link “Yannis Stournaras, Greek finance minister, said depositors holding funds in Greek branches of Cypriot bank would not be affected. The Greek networks of Bank of Cyprus and Laiki (Popular) Bank, the largest Cypriot banks, would be split off from the parent banks and transferred to a Greek state bank, perhaps as early as Tuesday”


Bank Holiday to Tuesday


Ekathimerini reports Nicosia declares Tuesday a bank holiday, but ECB urges for action

The Cypriot cabinet has declared Tuesday a bank holiday, for fear of capital flight, and this may even be stretched to Wednesday, as depositors are certain to withdraw huge sums from the Cypriot banks after the haircut imposed.

Nicosia postponed from Sunday to Monday the tabling in Parliament of the bill including the measures for the Cypriot bailout – including a bank account haircut and a tax hike on interest and corporate earnings – but the European Central Bank insists on a rapid voting because there are already signs a domino effect will follow across European lenders and markets from Monday.


There is genuine fear of market unrest on Monday morning when stocks may crumble in the eurozone and bank accounts in other southern European bank may suffer.


Skai radio reported on Sunday that the Bank of Greece has sent between 4 and 5 billion euros to Cyprus in order to help Cypriot banks respond to cash requirements by their clients.


Reflections on Arrogance and Idiocy


Note the ridiculousness of the situation: Greece is sending cash to Cyprus.


Every step of the way, the nannycrat idiots in Brussels have underestimated the seriousness of every situation, the amount of money involved to fix them, and the public blowback in response to their policy decisions.


Cyprus is tiny. But the ramifications of this move will not be. The taxation of all deposit accounts in Cyprus was a huge mistake. It is only going to net the EU 5.8 billion Euros.


Many people have emailed that much of the money in Cyrus accounts was via illegal inflows from Russia. OK, is that a reason to screw every Cyprus depositor, even the small accounts below the 100,000 deposit guarantee?


I suggest not. I object to the entire scheme. First the bondholders should have been wiped out. If that was not enough then the deposits above the 100,000 deposit guarantee should have been hit. Then and only then should the average citizen been hit.


And guess what. The average Cyprus citizen would likely not have been hit. Instead, the EU mandated a “screw every citizen” policy to protect the senior bondholders.


This is not going to sit well in Cyprus or anywhere else, and all for a mere EU 5.8 billion Euros.


The stupidity and arrogance of these nannycrats is staggering. The nannycrats think this will stop “contagion”. They are nuts.


By my accounting, the need to stop contagion has spread to Greece, Portugal, Spain, Ireland, Italy, and Cyprus. France is soon on the way.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




Cyprus Details: Blackmail, Bulldozer Threats, Bank Holiday to Tuesday; Calls to Exit Eurozone; Reflections on Arrogance and Idiocy

Cyprus Rapes Citizens with 6.75% to 9.9% "Tax" on Deposits; Contagion of Idiocy is Everywhere

The hot news out of Cyprus today is the direct confiscation of depositor’s money via an alleged tax on deposits of 6.75 percent on amounts less than 100,000 euros and 9.9 percent above that.
The measures will raise 5.8 billion euros, Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who leads the group of euro-area ministers, told reporters early today after 10 hours of talks in Brussels. The euro region’s bailout kitty and, possibly, the International Monetary Fund will look to make up the shortfall. A partial “bail-in” of junior bondholders is also possible.

Funds to pay the levy were frozen in accounts immediately, ECB Executive Board Member Joerg Asmussen said.


Officials have struggled to find an agreement that would rescue Cyprus, which accounts for just half of a percent of the euro region’s economy, without unsettling investors in larger countries and sparking a new round of market contagion.


Read that last paragraph carefully. Officials raped Cyprus citizens to avoid “unsettling investors in larger countries”.


Here’s the deal. Large investors should have risk. The nannycrats and thugs in Europe still don’t see it this way and this is the most blatant example of theft yet, all in the name  of preventing “contagion”.


Contagion of Idiocy is Everywhere.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com



Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




Cyprus Rapes Citizens with 6.75% to 9.9% "Tax" on Deposits; Contagion of Idiocy is Everywhere

Saturday, March 16, 2013

Contagion-Begging Actions; Expect Bank Runs Following Cyprus Idiocy; Have Money in a Spanish Bank? Take It Out Now!

In Cyprus, a decision was made to screw savers with a 6.75% to 9.9% “Tax” on deposits.

Supposedly this move was made to “avoid unsettling investors in larger countries and sparking a new round of market contagion.”


In reality, the action was mandated theft, imposed by EU officials to protect senior bondholders.


How can such an action do anything but cause contagion?


The move is expected to raise a mere 5.8 billion euros according to Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, leader of the euro-area ministers. Fallout from this action will cost far more than that.


Contagion-Begging Actions


What is someone in Greece, Spain, or Italy supposed to think?


Consider Spain. By a 526 to 86 vote, the nannycrats in Brussels just passed a regulation that will require a country to accept a bailout if offered. (Please see An Offer You Cannot Refuse; EU Passes Law Forcing Countries to Take Bailout; Is Spain the First Target?)


Also note that EU Court Strikes Down Spain’s Eviction Law.


Think the parlay of EU contagion-begging actions for a second.


  1. Spanish banks will not be able to evict homeowners, who in turn will be give reason to default. Losses will soar at Spanish banks and they are insolvent already.

  2.  The “Offer You Cannot Refuse” action by the EU is sure to arouse suspicion of a forced bailout in Spain.

  3. Cyprus actions will heighten fears of bank takeovers, capital controls, and theft of deposits via confiscation. 

Expect Bank Runs


Why would any rational thinking Spanish person keep any money in Spanish banks? They shouldn’t and I suspect they won’t.


Moreover, this is bound to further inflame the situation in Italy, where Beppe Grillo’s Five Star Movement is already the largest party.


In short, this action was one of the single stupidest things the EU could have done and they crammed it down the throats of all Cyprus citizens, hoping to stop the spread of contagion.


My friend Bernd who lives in Germany had these comments. “Judging by the German forums on Focus, Der Spiegel, SZ, FAZ and Die Zeit, there is hardly any support for this action. The name calling and swearing is rather blunt. These guys did not study their Machiavelli. He said roughly if you hurt people, you must never hurt all of them at once.”


The closest Machiavelli quote I can find is “If you need to injure someone, do it in such a way that you do not have to fear their vengeance.”


Rest assured there is going to be vengeance over this action. The Cyprus government will fall, and deposit fear will spread everywhere.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Wine Country Conference


I am hosting an economic conference on April 5 in Sonoma, California. Proceeds go to the Les Turner ALS Foundation (Lou Gehrig’s Disease).


Please see My Wife Joanne Has Passed Away; Stop and Smell the Lilacs for my association with the disease.


To learn about the economic conference with world-class speakers including John Hussman, Michael Pettis, Jim Chanos, John Mauldin, Mike “Mish” Shedlock, Chris Martenson with guest moderator Lauren Lyster and other Special Guests, please visit Wine Country Conference April 5, 2013


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




Contagion-Begging Actions; Expect Bank Runs Following Cyprus Idiocy; Have Money in a Spanish Bank? Take It Out Now!