Showing posts with label Watch. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Watch. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

The One Line to Watch For Where Gold is Heading


 


Since 2011, the Fed and other global Central Banks have injected over $ 2 trillion into the financial system. They’ve also announced plans to continue pumping money ad infinitum.


 


And yet for the period from 2011 until two weeks ago Gold, the inflation hedge of choice for investors, hasn’t done much of anything.


Why is this?


Part of it has to do with simple sentiment. Gold was overextended in 2011, stretched far away from its primary trendline:


 



 


On top of this, investors had gone too carried away on expectations of more Fed liquidity. QE 2, which was announced November 2010, was a mere $ 600 billion (not much compared to the Fed’s current programs which will extend forever). But yet Gold rose like a rocket ship starting in August when the Fed first hinted at QE 2.


 



 


Which brings us to today. This excessive enthusiasm needed to cool and Gold has done just that for the last two years. Then the Gold Crash happened and were right back at the long-term trendline.


 


The is the key area to watch. If Gold continues to correct, then we could go to $ 1200. But Gold should hold up here as ong as the long-term trendline remains intact.


 


We’ll have to see. But reports of incredible demand for the precious metal are ubiquitous.


 


For more market insights visit us at:


 


www.gainspainscapital.com


 


Best Regards,


 


Graham Summers





    




Zero Hedge




The One Line to Watch For Where Gold is Heading

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 19




BRATISLAVA, March 19 | Tue Mar 19, 2013 3:39am EDT



BRATISLAVA, March 19 (Reuters) – Here are news stories, press reports and events to watch which may affect Slovak financial markets on Tuesday.


PARLIAMENT SESSION


The parliament will reconvene to continue its March session, no major economic items on agenda on Tuesday, 0800 GMT.


UP TO CYPRUS TO DECIDE HOW TO SHARE BURDEN – SLOVAK FINMIN


The size of a European bailout for Cyprus is unchangeable and it is up to Cypriots to decide how to share the burden among savers in the Mediterranean island’s banks, Slovak Finance Minister Peter Kazimir said on Monday.


SLOVAKIA PRICES DUAL-TRANCHE SWISS FRANC BOND


The Slovak Republic, rated A/A2/A+, has raised CHF575m through a dual tranche bond offering, one of the lead managers said.


SLOVAKIA SELLS 50.5 MLN EUROS OF 20-YEAR BONDS


Slovakia sold a slightly below-than-targeted 50.5 million euros ($ 65.98 million) of 3.875 percent coupon state bonds due in February 2033 on Monday, the finance ministry’s Debt and Liquidity Management Agency (ARDAL) said.


SLOVAKIA SELLS 99.8 MLN EUROS OF 3-YEAR BONDS


Slovakia sold a less-than-targeted 99.8 million euros of floating-rate bonds due in May 2016 on Monday, with demand falling from the last time the maturity was auctioned in February.


======================= ECONOMIC DATA ====================== Real-time economic data releases………………. Previous stories on Slovak data………… Overview of economic data and forecasts…….. ============================================================


Reuters has not verified the media reports, nor does it vouch for their accuracy.





Reuters: Bonds News




Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 19

Monday, March 18, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 18




BRATISLAVA, March 18 | Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:34am EDT



BRATISLAVA, March 18 (Reuters) – Here are news stories, press reports and events to watch which may affect Slovak financial markets on Monday.


BOND AUCTIONS


The Debt and Liquidity Management Agency (ARDAL) will auction state bonds with floating-rate coupon due Nov. 16 and 3.875 percent coupon state bonds due Feb. 2033, after 1000 GMT.


ARDAL expected to sell 100 million euros worth of the three-year bonds and 75 million euros worth of 20-year bonds.


HUNGARY SENDS IN TANKS AS COLD SNAP GRIPS EASTERN EUROPE


Hungary deployed tanks to reach thousands of motorists trapped in heavy snow on Friday in a sudden cold snap and high winds which also struck parts of the Balkans, Slovakia and Poland and have left at least four people dead.


FEB EU INFLATION FALLS TO 2-YR LOW


Slovak consumer prices were flat on the month in February, cutting the annual inflation rate under EU methodology to a two-year low of 2.2 percent, the lowest since December 2010.


======================= ECONOMIC DATA ====================== Real-time economic data releases………………. Previous stories on Slovak data………… Overview of economic data and forecasts…….. ============================================================


Reuters has not verified the media reports, nor does it vouch for their accuracy.





Reuters: Bonds News




Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 18

Sunday, March 17, 2013

PODCAST: Whale watch, medical match


Senate investigators are holding a hearing today on JPMorgan’s estimated $ 6.3 billion losses connected to a London trader known as the ‘Whale.’ New evidence from internal emails and phone calls suggests the blame may lie with even bigger fish in company.


You’re forgiven if you think all the President does is deal with the budget, since squabbling between the White House and Congress has been much in the news lately. But the presidency is more than that. One other big issue facing the administration is energy. On Friday afternoon, President Obama will address that at an event at Argonne National Laboratory in Illinois.


Later today, 33,000 aspiring doctors will find out where they’ll be doing their residencies for the next three to seven years. In medical circles, they call it “Match Day.” In the last few years, doctors and hospitals have begun adapting the on-the-job training residents receive, so they can better succeed in today’s tumultuous health care world. But the past is never far from view.


Latest Stories on Marketplace.org




PODCAST: Whale watch, medical match

Friday, March 15, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 15




BRATISLAVA, March 15 | Fri Mar 15, 2013 3:29am EDT



BRATISLAVA, March 15 (Reuters) – Here are news stories, press reports and events to watch which may affect Slovak financial markets on Friday.


FEBRUARY EU-NORM INFLATION


The statistics office will publish February EU-norm inflation data, 0800 GMT. Analysts expected consumer prices to rise by 0.2 percent on the month, keeping the annual inflation rate at 2.5 percent.


INDUSTRIAL ORDERS RISE +11.2 PCT M/M IN JAN


New industrial orders in euro zone member Slovakia jumped by 11.2 percent month-on-month on a seasonally adjusted basis in January after a 5.5 decline in December, statistics office data showed on Thursday.


Slovakia holds Swiss roadshow with UBS


Slovakia, rated A2/A/A+, has mandated UBS for a “non-deal related” Swiss roadshow and investor update which took place Thursday 14 March. A new Swiss franc deal may be in the offing, subject to market conditions.


======================= ECONOMIC DATA ====================== Real-time economic data releases………………. Previous stories on Slovak data………… Overview of economic data and forecasts…….. ============================================================


PSA SLOVAKIA


Slovak unit of French carmaker group PSA Peugeot Citroen said it reached an agreement with union over a wage freeze for the coming two years and no lay-offs. PSA employs over 3,000 people at its Slovak assembly plant.


Hospodarske Noviny, page 1


Reuters has not verified the media reports, nor does it vouch for their accuracy.





Reuters: Bonds News




Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 15

Saturday, March 9, 2013

Watch Out For Falling Objects: US Share Of Total Chinese Exports Plunges To All Time Low

We posted this chart previously, but it deserves repeating, for one reason: whereas conventional wisdom in the past was the due to the mutual assured trade destruction between China and the US (with China overly reliant on the US consumer and market for its exports, and the US desperate for Chinese purchases of US bonds as a USD-recycling and, more importantly, deficit-funding pathway), perhaps now that exports to the US as a percentage of total Chinese exports have fallen to an all time low, and with Chinese purchases of US bonds stagnant of 18 months in a row as the Fed’s monetization of US paper has replaced the marginal Chinese demand, perhaps it is time to rethink the increasingly unstable MAD Nash Equilibrium that exists between the countries: first in trade, and soon in all other aspects of socio-economic relations.

Source: Diapason




Zero Hedge


Watch Out For Falling Objects: US Share Of Total Chinese Exports Plunges To All Time Low

Friday, March 1, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 1


Slovakia - Factors To Watch on March 1

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on Feb 26


Slovakia - Factors To Watch on Feb 26

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Far-flung relatives now watch funerals online

At a Jewish service at the Berkowitz-Kumin-Bookatz funeral home in Cleveland Heights, friends and family share stories about the man they call “Joe.”

“And as you might’ve guessed, a week or two later, you know what happened,” smiles one relative. “One of the kids turned the table on Joe, and put a pie right in his face, and we had that on camera as well.”

I saw scenes of fondness and remembrance — smiles and tears. But the thing is, I wasn’t really there. Some of the mourners weren’t either. We were watching an online video stream, some from Arizona, Vermont, and Rhode Island.

Cindy Saltzer is Joseph’s daughter. She’s glad the funeral was available online.

“My family… they did not want to have that,” confides Saltzer. “I think they thought it might have been intrusive, but they originally did not want to do it, and I did. I thought it was a good idea.” 

In the Jewish religion, burials are done quickly. In Albert Joseph’s case, it was two days after his death. Normally this means costly, last-minute airfares or long, stressful drives. But in this case, Saltzer arranged a webcast with the funeral home, with an on-demand link for those who could only see it later. 

“And we got wonderful responses, wonderful letters from people who saw it live,” Saltzer says. “Even one of my dad’s elderly friends… figured out how to do it, and watched it live.” 

Funeral director Michael Kumin says he installed the projectors, screens, and computer equipment two months ago, at a cost of $ 22,000. The funeral home doesn’t charge extra for the service, which gives them a leg-up on competitors.

Kumin says out of the last 80 services, about a third included webcasts… like one where a brother Skype-d in from Florida.

“And bigger than life, we had the brother sitting on that screen… in front of his computer so we saw him,” recalls Kumin. “And he spoke to everyone here. He said the things he wanted to say about his brother that came from his heart, and when it was all over, the rabbi continued, we put the screen back up, and the service continued as if someone had just walked out of the family room to step up on the podium and speak.”

Interest in online funerals is growing. One company, National Webcast, says demand has shot up 250 percent from 2011. But Sara Marsden says some funeral homes are worried.  She’s editor-in-chief for U.S. Funerals Online.

“We will see a lot more funeral homes close down, unfortunately,” says Marsden. “Because I think the more we can access online services, we’re not going to be traveling on the same basis to visit funeral homes.”

In short, less revenues for funeral homes from chapel space, services, and caskets. 

But not everyone thinks the online trend means the end of traditional services. Daniel Berry runs a couple funeral homes in the Cleveland area. 

“I don’t think it’s ever going to replace the value of the human touch, the presence of a friend or family there at the funeral home to comfort and share the grief with the family,” says Berry. “Which is why we have calling hours, why we have funeral services, why we memorialize the individuals.”

Still, for Cindy Saltzer, emailing the link of her father’s service to friends made her happy.

“It was a beautiful service,” she says. “My dad was an outstanding man, and I just wanted to share it with people who would’ve wanted to see it.”

Saltzer’s husband Michael, argues online services will benefit those tight on for cash, too sick or too old to travel, as well as relatives in the military.

“I really don’t see a downside, and since we have the technology, why not take advantage of it, and use it so other people can be a part of it and experience it?” 

Latest Stories on Marketplace.org


Far-flung relatives now watch funerals online

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Slovakia - Factors To Watch on Feb 19


Slovakia - Factors To Watch on Feb 19

Sunday, February 17, 2013

Global investors watch how chips fall in China"s cashless casino bar

SANYA, China | Sat Feb 16, 2013 6:00pm EST

SANYA, China Feb 17 (Reuters) – Placing bets on green-felt baccarat tables in a new casino bar on China’s southern Hainan island, punters seem oblivious to a huge wager quietly being placed around them, one that could potentially siphon business from the world’s largest gaming hub in Macau an hour’s flight away.

For now, players at Jesters casino bar, part of the newly opened Mangrove Tree Resort World on Sanya Bay, cannot win cash – only points that they can use to pay for accommodation, luxury goods, jewelry and artwork for sale at the resort.

Owned by art, film and real estate mogul Zhang Baoquan, the casino bar marks the Chinese government’s first tacit approval of a gaming concept outside of Macau. Global investors, including some of the world’s biggest gaming companies, are watching to see how the chips will fall.

“Our casino bar is the first in the country. The government is monitoring, it’s a test,” Zhang told Reuters in a recent interview at his 23rd-floor office overlooking his sprawling 173-acre property that opened late last year.

“Right now we are not at this stage (legalising casino gambling), but my personal opinion is, in future, there is a big possibility that they will have.”

The stakes are enormous — China’s monopoly gambling site, Macau, raked in $ 38 billion in gaming revenues last year, primarily from Chinese gamblers. If Beijing were to allow gambling elsewhere in the country, cash would follow.

It’s not just the Chinese government that is watching the development. MGM Resorts International opened a hotel in Sanya last year and fellow U.S. casino operator Caesars Entertainment is set to open a hotel in 2014.

An MGM spokesman said the company had no plan to introduce “anything of this kind”. Caesars did not respond to requests for comment.

Dressed in jeans and a black-and-white Hawaiian shirt during his interview, the 56-year-old Zhang said he aims to create an integrated resort similar to those in Las Vegas and Singapore where gaming, convention space and retail outlets are offered together.

Mangrove Tree Resort World, the newest addition to Hainan’s rapidly developing hotel scene, will be China’s biggest resort when construction is completed next year. It will have more than 4,000 rooms, a convention hall accommodating 6,000 people and facilities including a water park.

It is one of 10 integrated resorts that Zhang is developing around the country, including one more in Sanya and others stretching from Lhasa in Tibet to the eastern coastal city Qingdao.

While the Chinese government does not permit casinos in the country outside of Macau, Zhang – ranked by Forbes as one of the country’s 300 richest people in 2012 with $ 600 million – said Hainan could become an exception.

Sensitive to existing restrictions, the soft-spoken businessman emphasized cultural attractions such as his art gallery that, along with the casino bar, will be incorporated into the planned resorts.

WINNING “MANGROVE” POINTS

Inside Jesters, which models itself on Macau’s casino halls with garish chandeliers and a giant roulette wheel ceiling, players buy tickets costing 500 yuan ($ 80) each. Bets range from 20-2,000 yuan in the mass area, while the high-limits area is set at 2,000-100,000 yuan. Big whale punters will be able to bet over 100,000 yuan once the VIP room opens on the second floor.

The casino bar, with 50 gaming tables now, is currently open only to hotel guests, but when the resort is completed, local residents will be allowed in.

When players win, they receive “Mangrove” points that can be used to buy products available in the casino such as an iPad 3G or a Rimowa suitcase. Once luxury brands open outlets within the resort, customers will be able to spend their points in those stores. Art work from Zhang’s Beijing art gallery is also available for purchase.

Retail stores including Prada and Louis Vuitton will be part of a network of 20 luxury stores that will open at the resort next year, Zhang said.

Zhang, president of Beijing conglomerate Antaeus, has the financial backing of China Development Bank. The state lender invested 70 percent of the cost of the Mangrove Tree expansion.

“The local governments are very supportive,” says the boyish-looking Zhang, who started off as a carpenter in his hometown of Zhenjiang in eastern Jiangsu province, and now is well known as an arts philanthropist and prominent film investor.

Married to Wang Qiuyang, a mountaineer whose father Wang Chengbin was a former army commander, Zhang said any potential change to gambling restrictions would take time, adding that the government would need to decide whether to let other operators open similar casino bars.

“Gambling culturally is a very bad thing, but today there is a difference — gambling is a financial tool,” said Zhang.

“In Asia, even North Korea has two casinos. The richest country, Singapore, before you would never think society would accept it there. All over the world the attitude towards casinos is different from what it was traditionally.”

SANYA AND BEYOND

China is positioning Hainan as an international tourist destination, approving the construction of 15 large resorts and 63 five-star hotels as part of the country’s five-year plan.

As Chinese spend their money in new casinos across Asia from the Philippines to Vietnam, pressure is growing on Beijing to keep more gamblers at home.

“To some extent, the approval of gaming on Chinese soil is inevitable,” said Gary Pinge, analyst at Macquarie Group in Hong Kong.

“With regional markets already vying for a share of the Chinese gambling wallet, unless China brings gaming onto its own shores, it will not only lose tax revenues to other countries, but also the ‘multiplier effect’ from the consumption spend.”

In the meantime, Zhang is pushing ahead with his expansion plans. Aiming to list the Mangrove Tree brand on the Hong Kong stock exchange in 2015, Zhang hopes to use the capital raised to take his Mangrove Tree brand outside of China.

“Sydney, the Maldives, the United States, England, Paris and Turkey” would all be good, said Zhang with a shy smile.


Reuters: Financial Services and Real Estate


Global investors watch how chips fall in China"s cashless casino bar

Saturday, February 16, 2013

Global investors watch how chips fall in China"s cashless casino bar

Further development is seen at the newly opened Mangrove Tree Resort World on Sanya Bay in Hainan island February 6, 2013. For now, players at Jesters casino bar inside the resort cannot win cash - only points that they can use to pay for accommodation, luxury goods, jewellery and artwork for sale at the resort. Picture taken February 6, 2013. REUTERS/Farah Master (CHINA - Tags: ENTERTAINMENT SOCIETY BUSINESS) - RTR3DW5A

1 of 2. Further development is seen at the newly opened Mangrove Tree Resort World on Sanya Bay in Hainan island February 6, 2013. For now, players at Jesters casino bar inside the resort cannot win cash – only points that they can use to pay for accommodation, luxury goods, jewellery and artwork for sale at the resort. Picture taken February 6, 2013.

Credit: Reuters/Farah Master (CHINA – Tags: ENTERTAINMENT SOCIETY BUSINESS) – RTR3DW5A

SANYA, China | Sat Feb 16, 2013 8:34pm EST

SANYA, China (Reuters) – Placing bets on green-felt baccarat tables in a new casino bar on China’s southern Hainan island, punters seem oblivious to a huge wager quietly being placed around them, one that could potentially siphon business from the world’s largest gaming hub in Macau an hour’s flight away.

For now, players at Jesters casino bar, part of the newly opened Mangrove Tree Resort World on Sanya Bay, cannot win cash – only points that they can use to pay for accommodation, luxury goods, jewelry and artwork for sale at the resort.

Owned by art, film and real estate mogul Zhang Baoquan, the casino bar marks the Chinese government’s first tacit approval of a gaming concept outside of Macau. Global investors, including some of the world’s biggest gaming companies, are watching to see how the chips will fall.

“Our casino bar is the first in the country. The government is monitoring, it’s a test,” Zhang told Reuters in a recent interview at his 23rd-floor office overlooking his sprawling 173-acre property that opened late last year.

“Right now we are not at this stage (legalizing casino gambling), but my personal opinion is, in future, there is a big possibility that they will have.”

The stakes are enormous — China’s monopoly gambling site, Macau, raked in $ 38 billion in gaming revenues last year, primarily from Chinese gamblers. If Beijing were to allow gambling elsewhere in the country, cash would follow.

It’s not just the Chinese government that is watching the development. MGM Resorts International (MGM.N) opened a hotel in Sanya last year and fellow U.S. casino operator Caesars Entertainment is set to open a hotel in 2014.

An MGM spokesman said the company had no plan to introduce “anything of this kind”. Caesars did not respond to requests for comment.

Dressed in jeans and a black-and-white Hawaiian shirt during his interview, the 56-year-old Zhang said he aims to create an integrated resort similar to those in Las Vegas and Singapore where gaming, convention space and retail outlets are offered together.

Mangrove Tree Resort World, the newest addition to Hainan’s rapidly developing hotel scene, will be China’s biggest resort when construction is completed next year. It will have more than 4,000 rooms, a convention hall accommodating 6,000 people and facilities including a water park.

It is one of 10 integrated resorts that Zhang is developing around the country, including one more in Sanya and others stretching from Lhasa in Tibet to the eastern coastal city Qingdao.

While the Chinese government does not permit casinos in the country outside of Macau, Zhang – ranked by Forbes as one of the country’s 300 richest people in 2012 with $ 600 million – said Hainan could become an exception.

Sensitive to existing restrictions, the soft-spoken businessman emphasized cultural attractions such as his art gallery that, along with the casino bar, will be incorporated into the planned resorts.

WINNING “MANGROVE” POINTS

Inside Jesters, which models itself on Macau’s casino halls with garish chandeliers and a giant roulette wheel ceiling, players buy tickets costing 500 yuan ($ 80) each. Bets range from 20-2,000 yuan in the mass area, while the high-limits area is set at 2,000-100,000 yuan. Big whale punters will be able to bet over 100,000 yuan once the VIP room opens on the second floor.

The casino bar, with 50 gaming tables now, is currently open only to hotel guests, but when the resort is completed, local residents will be allowed in.

When players win, they receive “Mangrove” points that can be used to buy products available in the casino such as an iPad 3G or a Rimowa suitcase. Once luxury brands open outlets within the resort, customers will be able to spend their points in those stores. Art work from Zhang’s Beijing art gallery is also available for purchase.

Retail stores including Prada and Louis Vuitton will be part of a network of 20 luxury stores that will open at the resort next year, Zhang said.

Zhang, president of Beijing conglomerate Antaeus, has the financial backing of China Development Bank. The state lender invested 70 percent of the cost of the Mangrove Tree expansion.

“The local governments are very supportive,” says the boyish-looking Zhang, who started off as a carpenter in his hometown of Zhenjiang in eastern Jiangsu province, and now is well known as an arts philanthropist and prominent film investor.

Married to Wang Qiuyang, a mountaineer whose father Wang Chengbin was a former army commander, Zhang said any potential change to gambling restrictions would take time, adding that the government would need to decide whether to let other operators open similar casino bars.

“Gambling culturally is a very bad thing, but today there is a difference — gambling is a financial tool,” said Zhang.

“In Asia, even North Korea has two casinos. The richest country, Singapore, before you would never think society would accept it there. All over the world the attitude towards casinos is different from what it was traditionally.”

SANYA AND BEYOND

China is positioning Hainan as an international tourist destination, approving the construction of 15 large resorts and 63 five-star hotels as part of the country’s five-year plan.

As Chinese spend their money in new casinos across Asia from the Philippines to Vietnam, pressure is growing on Beijing to keep more gamblers at home.

“To some extent, the approval of gaming on Chinese soil is inevitable,” said Gary Pinge, analyst at Macquarie Group in Hong Kong.

“With regional markets already vying for a share of the Chinese gambling wallet, unless China brings gaming onto its own shores, it will not only lose tax revenues to other countries, but also the ‘multiplier effect’ from the consumption spend.”

In the meantime, Zhang is pushing ahead with his expansion plans. Aiming to list the Mangrove Tree brand on the Hong Kong stock exchange in 2015, Zhang hopes to use the capital raised to take his Mangrove Tree brand outside of China.

“Sydney, the Maldives, the United States, England, Paris and Turkey” would all be good, said Zhang with a shy smile.

(Editing by Ken Wills)


Reuters: Business News


Global investors watch how chips fall in China"s cashless casino bar

Sunday, February 10, 2013

Watch The Financial Markets In Europe

Watch The Financial Markets In EuropeIs the financial system of Europe on the verge of a meltdown?  I have always maintained that the next wave of the economic crisis would begin in Europe, and right now the situation in Europe is unraveling at a frightening pace.  On Monday, European stocks had their worst day in over six months, and over the past four days we have seen the EUR/USD decline by the most that it has in nearly seven months.  Meanwhile, scandals are erupting all over the continent.  A political scandal in Spain, a derivatives scandal in Italy and banking scandals all over the eurozone are seriously shaking confidence in the system.  If things move much farther in a negative direction, we could be facing a full-blown financial crisis in Europe very rapidly.  So watch the financial markets in Europe very carefully.  Yes, most Americans tend to ignore Europe because they are convinced that the U.S. is “the center of the universe”, but the truth is that Europe actually has a bigger population than we do, they have a bigger economy then we do, and they have a much larger banking system than we do.  The global financial system is more integrated today than it ever has been before, and if there is a major stock market crash in Europe it is going to deeply affect the United States and the rest of the globe as well.  So pay close attention to what is going on in Europe, because events over there could spark a chain reaction that would have very serious implications for every man, woman and child on the planet.

As I noted above, European markets started off the week very badly and things have certainly not improved since then.  The following is how Zero Hedge summarized what happened on Thursday…

EuroStoxx (Europe’s Dow) closed today -1% for 2013. France, Germany, and Spain are all lower on the year now. Italy, following ENI’s CEO fraud, collapsed almost 3% from the US day-session open, leaving it up less than 1% for the year. Just as we argued, credit markets have been warning that all is not well and today’s afternoon free-fall begins the catch-down.

In addition, the euro has been dropping like a rock all of a sudden.  Just check out this chart which shows what happened to the euro on Thursday.  It is very rare to see the euro move that dramatically.

So what is causing all of this?

Well, we already know that the economic fundamentals in Europe are absolutely horrible.  Unemployment in the eurozone is at a record high, and the unemployment rates in both Greece and Spain are over 26 percent.  Those are depression-level numbers.

But up until now there had still been a tremendous amount of confidence in the European financial system.  But now that confidence is being shaken by a whole host of scandals.

In recent days, a number of major banking scandals have begun to emerge all over Europe.  Just check out this article which summarizes many of them.

One of the worst banking scandals is in Italy.  A horrible derivatives scandal has pushed the third largest bank in Italy to the verge of collapse

Monte dei Paschi di Siena (BMPS.MI), Italy’s third biggest lender, said on Wednesday losses linked to three problematic derivative trades totaled 730 million euros ($ 988.3 million) as it sought to draw a line under a scandal over risky financial transactions.

There is that word “

Another big scandal that is shaking up Europe right now is happening over in Spain.  It is being alleged that Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and other members of his party have been receiving illegal cash payments.  The following summary of the scandal comes from a recent Bloomberg article

On Jan. 31, the Spanish newspaper El Pais published copies of what it said were ledgers from secret accounts held by Luis Barcenas, the former treasurer of the ruling People’s Party, which revealed the existence of a party slush fund. The newspaper said 7.5 million euros in corporate donations were channeled into the fund and allegedly doled out from 1997 to 2009 to senior party members, including Rajoy.

That doesn’t sound good at all.

So what is the truth?

Could Rajoy actually be innocent?

Well, at this point most of the population of Spain does not believe that is the case.  Just check out the following poll numbers from the Bloomberg article quoted above…

According to the Metroscopia poll, 76 percent of Spaniards don’t believe the People’s Party’s denials of the slush-fund allegations. Even more damning, 58 percent of the party’s supporters think it’s lying. All of the Spanish businessmen with whom I discussed the latest scandal expect it to get worse before it gets better. Their assumption that there are more skeletons in the government’s closet indicates what little trust they have in their leaders.

Meanwhile, the underlying economic fundamentals in Europe just continue to get worse.  One of the biggest concerns right now is France.  Just check out this excerpt from a recent report by Phoenix Capital Research

The house of cards that is Europe is close to collapsing as those widely held responsible for solving the Crisis (Prime Ministers, Treasurers and ECB head Mario Draghi) have all been recently implicated in corruption scandals.

Those EU leaders who have yet to be implicated in scandals are not faring much better than their more corrupt counterparts. In France, socialist Prime Minister Francois Hollande, has proven yet again that socialism doesn’t work by chasing after the wealthy and trying to grow France’s public sector… when the public sector already accounts for 56% of French employment.

France was already suffering from a lack of competitiveness. Now that wealthy businesspeople are fleeing the country (meaning investment will dry up), the economy has begun to positively implode.

As the report goes on to mention, over the past few months the economic numbers coming out of France have been absolutely frightful

Auto sales for 2012 fell 13% from those of 2011. Sales of existing homes outside of Paris fell 20% year over year for the third quarter of 2012. New home sales fell 25%. Even the high-end real estate markets are collapsing with sales for apartments in Paris that cost over €2 million collapsing an incredible 42% in 2012.

Today, the jobless rate in France is at a 15-year high, and industrial production is headed into the toilet.  The wealthy are fleeing France in droves because of the recent tax increases, and the nation is absolutely drowning in debt.  Even the French jobs minister recently admitted that France is essentially “bankrupt” at this point…

France’s government was plunged into an embarrassing row yesterday after a minister said the country was ‘totally bankrupt’.

Employment secretary Michel Sapin said cuts were needed to put the damaged economy back on track.

‘There is a state but it is a totally bankrupt state,’ he said.

So what does all of this mean?

It means that the crisis in Europe is just beginning.  Things are going to be getting a lot worse.

Perhaps that is one reason why corporate insiders are dumping so much stock right now as I noted in my article yesterday entitled “Do Wall Street Insiders Expect Something Really BIG To Happen Very Soon?“  There are a whole host of signs that both the United States and Europe are heading for recession, and a lot of financial experts are warning that stocks are way overdue for a “correction”.

For example, Blackstone’s Byron Wien told CNBC the other day that he expects the S&P 500 to drop by 200 points during the first half of 2013.

Seabreeze Partners portfolio manager Doug Kass recently told CNBC that what is happening right now in the financial markets very much reminds him of the stock market crash of 1987…

“I’m getting the ‘summer of 1987 feeling’ in the U.S. equity market,” Kass told CNBC, “which means we’re headed for a sharp fall.”

Toward the end of 2012 and at the very beginning of 2013 we saw markets both in the U.S. and in Europe move up steadily even though the underlying economic fundamentals did not justify such a move.

In many ways, that move up reminded me of the “head fakes” that we have seen prior to many of the largest “market corrections” of the past.  Often financial markets are at their most “

So get ready.

Even if you don’t have a penny in the financial markets, now is the time to prepare for what is ahead.

We all need to learn from what Europe is going through right now.  In Greece, formerly middle class citizens are now trampling one another for food.  We all need to prepare financially, mentally, emotionally, spiritually and physically so that we can weather the economic storm that is coming.

Most Americans are accustomed to living paycheck to paycheck and being constantly up to their eyeballs in debt, but that is incredibly foolish.  Even in the animal kingdom, animals work hard during the warm months to prepare for the winter months.  Even so, we should all be working very hard to prepare during prosperous times so that we will have something stored up for the lean years that are coming.

Unfortunately, if events in Europe are any indication, we may be rapidly running out of time.

Time Is Running Out

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The Economic Collapse


Watch The Financial Markets In Europe